Walton’s Wall will be covering tonight’s results in-depth with updates starting at 8:00PM and at least every 20 minutes afterward.
It looks like the Coakley campaign is already trying to point fingers to the Democrats in DC for her lose in the election. In a memo released it shows that the Coakley camp blames the National Democrats for failing to rally behind her.
Turn out in the Bay State appears to be high according to multiple reports.
Just appearing on CNN, John King said that all Democratic leaders he talked to were feeling down and worried about the results.
*** 7:25PM Update***
In a note on how the race affects the economy, all major markets were up today in trading. Many think that the rally is on speculation of a Brown win. Should Coakley pull out a victory look for a down market tomorrow.
With polls closing in a few minutes The Drudge Report claims that turnout is near 50%…. this could mean either Coakley wins with less than 1% or Brown blows this election open winning with more than 8%…. the word from White House advisors is “candidates matter”, meaning privately they don’t think Coakley will win.
***8:01 PM update***
The polls have now closed in Mass. Brown is now meeting with his campaign team.
According to pollster Scott Rasmussen, Among those who decided how they would vote in the past few days, Coakley has a slight edge, 47% to 41% (Obama visit impact?)… and also of importance 22% of Democrats voted for Brown. That is generally consistent with pre-election polling….
***8:25PM Update ***
One important thing to remember when watching coverage is that there are no exit polls for this race as no one thought it would be this close. Brown is up with 1% in, though I wont starting posting strong numbers until we reach 15% reporting…. I think then we can then begin to start to make some idea of whats going on, and I mean SOME.
The Caucus, a NY Times blog reports that “Democrats were studying turnout models and disappointed by what appeared to be lower-than-expected turnout in minority precincts, which typically trend Democratic.”…. If this true then Coakley will remain the AG of Mass…. one thing is that we haven’t heard anything from Boston (a Dem. strong hold)…. this could tell us if the model The Caucus reported on looks to be correct.
Results are coming in fast, with 21% in its Brown holding a decent lead 53/46…. looking at results, it appears that Brown is over performing in the key areas such as Danvers.
So far in Boston, 20 out of 254 precincts have reported and Coakley is winning 53 to Browns 46… she needs to run up the score in Boston more than what she has now.
Larry Sabato say’s on Twitter that “It is already obvious that Scott Brown will win the Senate seat in MA.”
With 57% in it’s Brown leading 53% to 46%…… Brown has about an 80,000 vote lead
We at Walton’s Wall might be in the position to make a call within the next 20 minutes
with 65% in, it remains Brown leading 53 to 46… 120 out of 254 precincts in Boston have reported….
We at Walton’s Wall are close to making a call
BREAKING, rumors say that Coakley has called Brown to concede
With 71% of the vote in, Walton’s Wall is calling the US Senate Race for Scott Brown
Coakley to speak soon, with Brown to follow
Also, be sure to check Walton’s Wall tomorrow for post election thoughts and analysis
Now that I have a second to take a breath here are my first thoughts about the election results…. this was a historic election, the message that the citizens of the Bay State sent to Washington DC was loud and clear, NO on health care and YES on the economy. This truly was a devastating blow to President Obama and Democrats. Obama is now 0 for 3 in campaigns since being elected, Governors races in Virginia and New Jersey and now this Senate election….. more posts after the speeches, but these are my first thoughts with more to come in tomorrows Walton’s Wall
This is my last post of the night… Brown victory speech was ok, he went a little too long and was all over the place, but for someone to come from behind like he did he deserved his extended time in the spotlight.
Tomorrow on Walton’s Wall read my reactions to what took place tonight….